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So what's their game?

By Michael J. Smith on Wednesday August 2, 2006 12:14 PM

The latest diktat from Jerusalem is that Israel will keep battering Lebanon until an "international force" is deployed there. But needless to say, nations which might conceivably provide troops for such a force aren't eager to do so unless there's been a cease-fire and a political framework agreed upon between Israel and Lebanon.

So what's Israel's game here? Is the demand for an international force under impossible conditions just a figleaf for re-occupation and population removal? Or is Israel really trying to get some Western nation or nations embroiled alongside them fighting Hezbollah, and ultimately Syria and Iran?

Usually, the best way to tell what Israel really wants is to see what Democratic politicians start calling for. So far none of them have jumped on the international force bandwagon, as far as I know, which lends some support to the figleaf theory.

Comments (5)

js paine:

i celled y

"what ...whozz
askin ...ok ok
well tell
the rear reverend father
its all in one word......
.... stall ...
till when ???...
how the fuck do i know ...
tell him to ask
his friends in the falange "

testy eh ?

guess its this heat wave

Jesus Reyes:

The best explanation that I have seen is from Haaretz.com in an article by Ze'ev Schiff followed by a long comments line full of anxiety, anguish and uncertainty.

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/744043.html

"If the military cards Israel is holding do not improve with the continuation of the fighting, it will result in a diplomatic solution that will leave the Hezbollah rocket arsenal in southern Lebanon in its place. The diplomatic solution will necessarily be a reflection of the military realities on the ground."

So we are in a shake-out phase. The IDF has sent in 20,000 for 5,000 hez's, that's 4:1. Guerrilla odds are usually 10:1.

I think everyone is waiting to see where the dust settles. It doesnt look like anyone will step up to take the IDF's place no matter what. Perhaps they are in for a insurgency/IED war. If so, the only way for them to win is to level the place and clear it out. If we could clear Iraqis out of Iraq we would win.

Hezbollah is up to bat.

js paine:

flash
a somewhat mellower
y message awaited me when i turned back on my cell a few minutes ago

" hey pink
get this across
hezzy needs to be convinced it can regroup deeper inside lebanon
and then a euro belt can be laid along the leb side of the israeli border
and
only syria and the leb sunnis can make that deal stick
of course its extremely important
also to remember that zzzzzzzzzzz"
yup drop out
and
no call back since

so according to
He who
must be slapped
..... on the back

UNCLE AND THE ZIONICS
BOTH
are waiting on
little Assad's back stage play


what did danton recommend
at moments of crisis

"irony irony
always irony "

Usually, the best way to tell what Israel really wants is to see what Democratic politicians start calling for. So far none of them have jumped on the international force bandwagon, as far as I know, which lends some support to the figleaf theory.

Bingo on that.

And very salient points from Ze'ev schiff via Jesus Reyes.

BTW... Olmert interview in the UK Times is ... something else. Nasty - and whines.

Revealing.

js paine:

senior donks calling for
an international force
intervention would start the clock ticking
put pressure on the war mongrels
in washington and
in israel too

eventually
after all is clear to call precisely for such a force
these early birds
would be accused
of pre mature
settlement ism
yup
even if the euros iz comin
...some day
it can't be till
everything is already status quiet
and that"can't be rushed"
by cries of cease fire

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