By Owen Paine on Monday May 8, 2006 10:13 PM
The Wash Post reports
more horse race analysis on this year's
biennial Fall classic.
The popular sea change may still not be enough for a House change, given the Repub lock system. According to one academic study, the Repubs are way better distributed CD-wise. A majority of CDs are Repub-friendly -- while Dems are lumped on top of each other in a minority of CDs. Kind of a minority-majority, majority-minority gig
And oh, this just in too...
The old Dixie split ticket voting (CD donk / Repub prez) is down from a high in the 60-70's of 40% to a mere 13% today -- practically random error range. Is that a gerrymander effect too -- and if so, how?
Comments (2)
It seems to me that a sharp decrease in split-ticket voting would indicate an increase in the polarization of the electorate itself, rather than any effect produced by gerrymandering.
Good grief. Did I just write that?
Posted by AlanSmithee | May 9, 2006 8:12 AM
Posted on May 9, 2006 08:12
i say the gerry rig
still may be involved
hear me out:
as the repubs gained control of more southern state gubs
they got to re line
the districts
i think this leaves an an uneven efect
donks get a muddled notion
that swing is the thing
ie
dlc
because the party base
blacks is heavily bunched
in cds they can't lose
but pubs get to harden their ideology
cause all they need do is be themselves to win
much
like the old white sheet demodonks
haven't seen this
written up
in black and white
and decked out with
ivy yet
but its a notion that might form itself
into a conjecture
if it eats its spinach
Posted by js paine | May 9, 2006 4:00 PM
Posted on May 9, 2006 16:00